November 2023
AMLO
Research
There is evidence that many investors became more cautious about investing in Mexico’s energy sector during AMLO’s presidency because of his attempts to increase state control over the sector. "Mexican president's contentious electricity overhaul defeated in Congress" (Apr 18 2022)
Tour Guides
TG #1 Tour guide had nothing but praise for AMLO. And he really likes the new presidential candidate (female Jew) who will likely be elected next year.
TG #2 Said Indigenous people are losing their culture and are increasingly being forced to learn Spanish. According to the guide, although AMLO presented himself as being “for the people,” he did little to protect Indigenous communities. Higher education in native languages is largely unavailable, and universities are often located too far away for many Indigenous students to realistally attend.
TG #3 AMLO promoted a “hugs, not bullets” approach to crime, emphasizing social programs over aggressive military confrontation with cartels. Many Mexicans are viewed as hardworking and community-oriented people, despite the country’s struggles with organized crime and corruption. Critics pointed to AMLO’s visits to El Chapo’s mother in a remote area of Mexico as symbolically controversial. He also cancelled construction of Mexico City’s partially built new airport and relocated the project farther from the city, a decision that frustrated many residents and business groups.
TG #4 The tour guide argued that the real political divide is not left versus right, but globalists versus nationalists. He viewed both Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) and Donald Trump as nationalist leaders with populist, anti-establishment messaging, and noted that the two maintained a relatively friendly relationship despite being portrayed as politically different.
TG #4 According to the guide, AMLO remained popular because he positioned himself as a defender of ordinary Mexicans against elites and entrenched institutions. However, the guide believed AMLO often acted differently from his public rhetoric, criticizing him for using political methods similar to the corrupt systems he claimed to oppose. He pointed to the cancellation of the Mexico City airport project as an example critics viewed as politically motivated despite being framed as anti-corruption.
TG #4 The guide also criticized the Catholic Church for preaching humility while historically holding significant wealth and influence. He believed AMLO’s political movement was becoming increasingly dominant and could continue exerting influence through Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo. While AMLO’s supporters viewed his pensions and social programs as important anti-poverty measures, the guide argued the payments were too small to significantly improve living standards and resembled a form of political patronage.
Car Loans
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #2 The guide explained that car loan interest rates can be around 18%, and that banks generally lend based on strict income requirements, sometimes requiring borrowers to earn several times the value of the monthly payment. According to him, these lending standards and high interest rates make it difficult for many people to qualify for home loans as well.
TG #4 The guide explained that Mexico’s banking sector is dominated by large private banks, many of which are foreign-owned or internationally connected. According to him, many people prefer cash transactions because obtaining loans can be difficult and interest rates are often high. He claimed that even relatively favorable loan rates can be around 14%, making financing expensive for many consumers.
TG #4He also described informal or alternative financing arrangements used for purchases such as cars. In some cases, groups of buyers make monthly payments through financing companies or dealer-affiliated programs, with vehicles distributed over time as participants continue making payments. He referred to this as a form of self-financing.
TG #4The guide argued that high borrowing costs and limited access to credit also make home loans difficult for many Mexicans.
Note: Mexico’s banking sector is indeed heavily dominated by large private banks, including foreign-owned institutions like. Interest rates in Mexico have historically been much higher than in the U.S., especially during inflationary periods. Consumer loan rates around or above 14% are plausible depending on the product. The “group financing” concept you described sounds similar to a tanda or auto-financing pool/common-payment system sometimes used when traditional credit is difficult to obtain.
China
Research
- Economic Boom
- Could reduce poverty and other issues related to it.
- Serious competitor to China if this happens.
- China has huge influence in geo-political realm.
- China
- Two strategies: compete with Mexico or cooperative and gain influence in Mexico.
- Mexico won't take over China altogether - China is just too big.
- US market
- Competition between Mexico and China - not David and Goliath.
- China exported 600 billion to US.
- Mexico exported 400 billion to US.
- China stands to lose in this regional market reshuffling.
- This is why China is opting for cooperative with Mexico.
- CCP does not want to lose control over US export market.
- Only for CCP to maintain advantage with Mexico increasing market share is to get influence via Mexico.
- Competition between Mexico and China - not David and Goliath.
- Infrastructure projects
- So CCP trying to build infrastructure projects.
- Signed multibillion dollar railroad projects with Mexican government.
- Gaining influence through infrastructure projects is not new for CCP.
- However, Mexico one of few countries that is not part of belt and road initiative.
- Mexico does not want to upset US by taking tons of loans from China.
- But luckily for CCP, another way to get influence in Mexico.
- To take over part of the Mexican economy itself.
- "Chinese factories flock to Mexico, crossing US border to avoid tariffs" (Nikkei Asia)
- This could be China's master plan to counter American's independent economy.
- Importing from Chinese companies in Mexico not that much different than importing from Mexico.
- This is bad news for the U.S. - it desperately wants to be independent of China. But clear CCP has different agenda.
- To take over part of the Mexican economy itself.
- Interests are aligned between Mexico and U.S.
- Will this new alliance make the U.S. independent from China?
- But CCP moving 100s of companies to Mexico.
- Will this new alliance make the U.S. independent from China?
- One thing for certain: Mexico perfect storm for economic boom.
Tour Guides
No tour guide notes.
Cinco De Mayo
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #3 Mexico’s biggest national celebration is Mexican Independence Day on September 16, not Cinco de Mayo as is often assumed in the United States. On this day, Mexicans around the world celebrate the anniversary of Mexico’s independence from Spain.
TG #4 Cinco de Mayo is not considered a major national holiday in most of Mexico, despite its prominence in the United States. The country’s most important national celebration is Mexican Independence Day on September 16, which commemorates Mexico’s independence from Spain.
Corruption / Career Politicians
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #2 The guide described corruption and political patronage as persistent issues within the government. He explained that Mexico has many different ministries, and politicians often rotate between leadership positions from one administration to the next, even when they lack expertise in the specific area they oversee. According to the guide, political and business connections can also lead to favoritism and privileges for family members and well-connected individuals.
TG #4 The guide criticized the prevalence of career politicians, arguing that many move frequently between government positions and even switch political parties when convenient. In his view, politicians often become highly skilled at maintaining their political influence and remaining in power over long periods of time.
Discrimination
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #1 The guide described a perceived bias toward lighter-skinned individuals, suggesting that in some settings lighter-skinned guests may receive less scrutiny than darker-skinned guests for similar actions, such as accessing hotel facilities.
TG #2 The guide recounted experiencing differential treatment in Cancun, claiming that staff initially ignored him but became more attentive once he paid in U.S. dollars. He interpreted this as an example of how service can be influenced by perceived spending power.
TG #3 The guide argued that in Cancun, social treatment is often influenced more by wealth and tipping behavior than by ethnicity. He noted that American tourists are generally perceived as better tippers and more polite, while some wealthier Mexican guests were described as more demanding. He shared an example of a disagreement with guests over drink requests, which he attributed to service limitations during busy conditions, and concluded that financial incentives strongly shape service dynamics in tourist areas.
Drugs
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #3The guide shared a personal theory that corruption within the U.S. government enables drug cartels to continue operating in the United States. He described cartels as heavily armed but relatively uneducated criminal groups with significant financial resources. In his view, if the U.S. government fully prioritized eliminating them, it could do so through stronger military or law enforcement action. He suggested that the continued existence of cartels may indicate that too much money is involved in the drug trade for it to be fully disrupted.
Economic Opportunities
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #3 The guide stated that the average monthly salary is around 8,000 pesos. He described a common pattern where young people complete school with expectations of opportunity, but later become discouraged by limited job prospects and low wages, particularly among recent graduates entering the workforce.
Energy
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #3 (Energy): The guide described working as a translator on the construction of a privately funded power plant around 15 years ago, reportedly involving Toshiba and an American company. He explained that the plant used gas turbines and a steam-based system to generate additional electricity, and that cooling systems required significant water usage. He noted that private energy projects were required to include a small Mexican ownership stake, but argued that local investors often lacked sufficient capital, resulting in heavy reliance on foreign companies, which would later sell power to Mexican utilities for distribution. He also contrasted this with state-owned plants, which he described as less efficient and more polluting, and suggested that Mexico relied on international expertise due to limited domestic experience in building modern energy infrastructure.
TG #3 (Resources): The guide also discussed natural resource management, stating that Mexico controls coastal water rights but alleging that U.S. companies extract oil and gas from Mexican waters using drilling methods he described as “straw sucking.” He added that Mexico avoids hydraulic fracturing (fracking) due to environmental concerns, particularly risks of groundwater contamination, and views it as dangerous for water safety.
Economy - Financial Services
Research
- Country is said to be "under banked"
- Lack of access to typical financial services.
- Online bank accounts, home loans, credit cards.
- Exists in Mexico, but many do not have access to.
- Good to have well regulated financial industry.
- Home loans and business loads typically good things.
- Allowing people to start their own business helps "social mobility".
- Poor people can build up wealth and improve quality of life.
- Social mobility key determinants of success in coming years.
- At moment, very hard for lower class to get education and employment to build up middle class lifestyle.
- Crime and lack of high paying jobs are why many people are moving out.
- Access to opportunity.
- Bad inequality - HUGE disparities between super rich and poor.
- Mexico has very low household debt to GDP ratio.
- Has to do with underbanking issue.
- Can't give loan to only cash transactions.
- Good side is that Mexico weather recent economic storms quite well.
- Mexico is a developing country.
- It is not developing nearly as fast as other developing countries.
- A lot of it has to do with that debt problem - or lack of debt problem.
- Credit allows a lot more money to trade hands.
- More overall prosperity.
- Partially due to people's willingness to nation itself.
- International Investment: Banking on a Nation.
- Mexico heavily dependent on U.S.
- Mexico's Future: Embracing the Debt
- In 2016, Home loan applications were growing substantially.
- This means will slowly catch up to the rest of the world.
- Mexico is still weary of the issues this can cause.
- Memory of 2008 not easily forgotten.
- But policy makers say benefits outway costs.
- Final Thoughts
- More and more people get access to banking, which means home loans and home ownership.
- This means less likely to move abroad.
- Skills and expertise will benefit the nation.
- More and more people get access to banking, which means home loans and home ownership.
Tour Guides
No tour guide notes.
Economy - Informal
Research
- A huge part of the Mexican economy is informal. This is partly due to Mexico being overly regulated.
- 60% of Mexicans do not receive social security.
- Mexico also loses out on tax revenue.
- Excessive taxes make it difficult for small businesses.
- Some states solve the informal economy better than others.
- In order for Mexico to thrive, all states need to be prosperous.
- National government policies should mimic what successful states have done.
Tour Guides
TG #3 The guide explained that a large portion of the economy operates informally and in cash. He said the government has attempted to reduce cash transactions to improve tax collection, but that regulations and structural barriers make formalization difficult.
TG #4 The guide described a similar situation, noting that the cash-based informal economy remains significant and that some economists have highlighted its scale. He said many people prefer cash, with long ATM lines around paydays, and that credit card usage is less common due to limited trust in banks. He also discussed the rise of financial technology (fintech) and “neo-banks,” describing them as more convenient than traditional banking, though typically offering limited or no interest on deposits. He added that some fintech platforms can offer relatively high interest rates and require lower barriers to entry than traditional banks.
Economy - Foreign Investments
Research
- Two types of foreign investment
- Foreign direct investment.
- Companies setup investments within the country.
- Foreign indirect investment.
- Investing using financial instruments (i.e., buy stocks).
- Foreign direct investment.
Tour Guides
No tour guide notes.
Equity
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #3 The guide described a law requiring that at least 50% of political candidates be women. He noted that while the policy aims to increase gender representation, it may also have unintended consequences, such as some potentially more qualified male candidates being excluded from consideration due to the quota requirement.
Financial Services
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
No tour guide notes.
GDP
Research
- Huge difference in GDP per state. This is partly due to poor government policies.
- Some states are better at attracting business than others.
- Not a rich nation.
- 15th largest economy in world, but have lot of people.
- Wealth is spread thin and unevenly.
- This is also very regional.
Tour Guides
No tour guide notes.
Gentrification
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
The guide raised concerns about gentrification in certain urban neighborhoods, noting that rising rents and an influx of wealthier foreigners and remote workers have contributed to displacement of some local residents. He observed changes in commercial activity, including traditional local businesses being replaced by higher-end establishments and an increase in coffee shops used by foreign remote workers. He also mentioned cultural and language tensions, including frustrations when some foreigners expect English to be widely understood.
At the same time, the guide acknowledged a more mixed impact, stating that in cases where buildings or areas were previously abandoned or underutilized, gentrification can also bring investment, renovation, and economic activity that improves the neighborhood.
Health Insurance
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #4 The guide explained that private health insurance coverage is limited and not widely used in Mexico. He said that in some cases, doctors may advise patients that certain treatments are expensive and recommend seeking care through the public social security system instead. He also noted that being formally self-employed can involve higher tax obligations and increased administrative scrutiny, but may provide access to government services and benefits.
Honor System
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #2 The guide contrasted social norms in Mexico with those in Japan, stating that he perceived less emphasis in Mexico on orderliness and consideration for others compared to what he observed in Japan.
TG #3 He gave examples to illustrate differences in social trust, such as the idea that if umbrellas were freely provided at train stations, they would likely not be returned, unlike in Japan where such systems are often based on high levels of public trust and compliance.
TG #4 He also described what he viewed as a weaker “honor system” in Mexico, using examples such as unattended payment boxes for goods like fruit, which he believed many people would not reliably use to pay voluntarily.
Immigration to US
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #2 The guide stated that many Mexicans migrate to the United States primarily for economic opportunities, and he also suggested that some migration may be influenced by social inequality or discrimination within Mexico.
Living Culture
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #4 The guide discussed cultural boundaries and the tension between preserving distinct cultural identities and the reality of cultural blending. He acknowledged the perspective that some people favor maintaining clearer separation between cultures to preserve tradition, while also arguing that cultures naturally interact and influence one another over time. As an example, he pointed to shared influences between holidays such as Halloween and Día de los Muertos, noting how cultural symbols and traditions can evolve through exchange rather than remain strictly separate.
Protests
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #1 The guide described a large women’s rights march that occurred recently, noting reports of vandalism, heightened security, and widespread anger during the event. He explained that women’s rights protests in Mexico often reflect serious concerns about gender-based violence and inequality, and he cited claims of high levels of violence against women. While he acknowledged the frustration driving these protests, he also noted that a friend of his became violent during demonstrations, which led him to reflect that violence cannot be solved with more violence.
TG #2 The guide also discussed protests related to Indigenous communities, particularly around displacement caused by government actions or rising costs of living. He shared mixed views on protest tactics: while he initially opposed vandalism, he came to believe it can sometimes be necessary to draw attention to issues. However, he emphasized that damaging unrelated or cultural sites, such as museums, is not justified.
TG #3 Overall, the guide expressed understanding of the motivations behind protests but remained critical of the use of violence or vandalism as a method of advocacy.
TG #4 He also described frequent demonstrations in general, stating that protests occur regularly and cover a wide range of issues involving federal, city, and even church-related topics. He suggested that the frequency of protests has led some residents to become desensitized or less responsive to them over time.
Medical
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #2 The guide explained that some professionals, such as professors and doctors, often work in both the public and private sectors. He noted that this arrangement can provide a balance between higher income earned in private practice and the benefits and stability associated with public employment.
TG #3 Health care system. Had vein enlargement had to get surgery. Went to private hospital. Surgeons will work both private and public hospitals. Public because they get benefits from government and private because they get lots of money. With public, you need to wait longer. With private you get in right away. Private was 2K USD. Public was virtually free. He asked surgeon if he could just go to public and have him do the surgery. Surgeon said yes. But then a few weeks later (can't remember the exact time) he went back to this surgeon for pre-surgery appointment. Surgeon was furious he was going to public. Day of surgery in public hospital, surgeon didn't even show up. Tour guide was mad. He had waited from 6AM to 1PM at the hospital (and fasted and no drinking) yet no surgery. He complained, and eventually found the right person to complain to. They said to come back on Thursday. Eventually got surgery. There were six patients all getting surgery in the same operating room. Surgeon went one by one through each patient, looking at patient chart before performing surgery. Private hospital would have been just him in the operating room.
NAFTA
Research
- NAFTA.
- Companies hesitant to invest in Mexico because unsure if they will be able to trade with them in future (this was written 3 years ago).
- Nation does not really borrow that much money - so if foreign investment falters, so to does Mexico.
- Peso swung wildly in 2016 US elections - feeling was Trump was anti-NAFTA.
Tour Guides
TG #1 The guide described NAFTA as having both positive and negative effects. He noted that it increased access to the U.S. consumer market and expanded the availability of goods in Mexico, but also said it negatively impacted some local farmers due to increased competition.
TG #2 No strong opinions either way.
TG #3 He added that NAFTA may not have significantly affected the average local population, but appeared to benefit large corporations more than smaller producers or individuals.
TG #4 The guide reflected that NAFTA’s long-term effects are still debated, noting that early impacts were seen as negative due to Mexico’s previously more closed economy and limited product availability. Over time, however, he suggested it has improved access to imported goods and economic integration. He described mixed attitudes toward multinational retailers like Walmart, which are widely used despite concerns about their impact on local businesses. He also mentioned a broader global trend toward regional economic blocs, such as the U.S. in the Americas, China in Asia, and Germany’s influence in Europe, and suggested it will be interesting to see how this pattern develops.
Pride in Country
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #3 Do Mexicans have pride in their country? Tour guide broke it down into two groups: 1.) White-icans and 2.) working class. White-icans are usually highly educated (from the US, for example), vacation in Bali and other elite spots. You ask them if they have been to all of these places in Mexico, and they will say they have not but plan to someday. So they kind of live in a little bubble and have not seen much of their country.
TG #4 Lots of pride in country. Mesoamerican cultures big of mex identity.
Presidential Elections
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #1 Next president likely to be a female Jew. "Conservatives" are less enthused because of Catholic. One politician made up lie that this candidate was not born in Mexico. It became a huge controversy in Mexico.
TG #4 Thinks this candidate may just be a puppet for AMLO when he steps down.
Relationship with South America
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #1 Most cultural exchanges between Mexico and South America is a one way street - it goes from Mexico to South America (e.g., TV shows).
TG #4 See Colombian or Venezuelan. Eventually feel connection via spoken languages. Mex soap operas exported to other South American countries. Peru and Mex have feeling of connection because both deeply affected by Spain. Chile and Argentina a little more decoupled because more European and more decoupled.
TG #4 The guide shared personal impressions comparing cultural attitudes in several Latin American countries. He suggested that Argentina is often perceived as more “pretentious” or outwardly confident, and acknowledged this as a stereotype. He noted Argentina’s historical reputation for strong intellectual output, publishing, and early industrial achievements, which he suggested may contribute to a sense of national pride or perceived arrogance.
He contrasted this with other countries such as Chile, offering his opinion that they are sometimes viewed differently in terms of cultural identity and international intellectual influence.
TG #4 The guide discussed Venezuela’s economic crisis, describing a system that relied heavily on government spending and increasing restrictions on credit and financial access. He explained that Venezuela’s dependence on oil revenues made its economy vulnerable, and that falling oil prices, combined with limited access to international financing and reduced investment, contributed to a severe economic downturn. He suggested that these conditions led to growing perceptions of government overreach and economic mismanagement, and argued that restoring stability would likely require a shift back toward more market-oriented economic policies, though he believed such a transition would not happen in the near term.
Relationship with U.S.
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #1 Mexico gets most of its culture from the U.S.
TG #2 Mexicans don't like the invasion of American companies. Protests. Yet many Mexicans do business at these places. Locals have not really benefited from oil because American companies did not reinvest money into locals.
TG #4 Mexicans think about. Deep hurt from Mex Amer war. Still a big thing. Wall separation between cultures and people. Another love hate relationship. Everybody went to imported products list. Walmart is love and hate with mex.
Safety
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #1 If there is one thing foreigners should know that they do not already - it is not an unsafe city. He gets very frustrated with this question. It used to be "where is the homelessness" but now it is "is it safe". He blames a lot of this on Fox news.
Separation Church and State
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #1 Benito Pablo Juárez García took control of church buildings in the 1800s. This led to the separation of church and state.
Social Security
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #2 Social security - tour guide knows people who retired in their late 30s and get full social security benefits (because they reached the necessary number of working weeks). Since then changes have been made to the social security system so it does not encourage early, early retirement.
TG #4 Universal pension for over 65. Comes from fed. Most people did not save.. Son's and daughters used to care. Difficult with inflation. Social security involves retirement, med, and home loans. All contributions. 1 3 workers players and governments. No max. Private pension fund.. part of social security. Tell manager I want to put this amount in this fund. If you have small business you be subject to big fines.
Tax Code
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #4Lot of regulations for setting up business. Tax code very complicated. Better to hire accountant.
Tren Maya
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #1Train project in peninsula area will be huge. Environment impact exaggerated.
TG #3Roads have collapsed five times near Cajun. Govt said not cut one small tree. Logistically not possible. But then cut down millions of trees. Claim boost economy of Yucatan but people who own lands are international companies. Offer jobs that are low income. 99% goes abroad. Had to introduce concrete pillars in caves. What is under caves? More caves.
TG #4Concerned about cave system under the train tracks. Not clear if this will become a problem as the train starts operating.
Tax Avoidance
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #3Pop up vuh - sacred book Maya. influence of catholic church - two twin brothers invited to play ball to amusement gods but they know trap. They know because way parents kill. 9 stages with traps. Labrthntg. Make it to God's. Take animals and cut and put together. Hidden message. Trickery. So outsmart.
TG #3: Mexicans love to brag how they avoided paying taxes. It is a like a badge of honor. Whereas in Norway, for example, it would be shamed if you did not contributed to the common good of your country.
TG #3: Many loopholes in Mexican government regulations. For example, government says you must share 10% of profits to employees if certain profitability at end of year. So companies will outsource to third party staffing companies that will not get close to income thresholds.
Water Supply
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #1: Told me there is water supply under the city. However, there is limited water. Presential candidate has down a lot of research on collecting rain water into the city water supply.
TG #3: Water 300km away. Cutting supply. No more water underneath city. Becoming.. Gentrification means more water demand. Real problem very soon.
Wealth Disparity
Research
No research notes.
Tour Guides
TG #2: Massive wealth disparity between ultra wealthy. One of most unequal countries in world. Top 10% has 60% of wealth. Top 1%has 25% of wealth. Mexico billionaire owns only major telecom company.
Why Is Latin America Poorer Than North America?
Nogales Case Study
- Interesting case study: two towns, Nogales, with the same culture, but in two different countries.
- One is 5 times wealthier than the other.
- Differences include:
- Infant mortality
- Crime
- Education
- U.S. citizens generally do not live in constant fear that:
- Their homes or businesses will be taken from them
- Their safety will be jeopardized
- Opening a business in many Latin American countries can be risky because entrepreneurs may need to maneuver around bribing corrupt politicians in order to stay open.
Broader Question
- Why is Latin America so much poorer than North America?
Historical Context
Latin America Was Not Always Expected to Be Poor
- This was not always the case.
- Land in Latin America was highly valued by indigenous peoples and early colonizers.
- North America was more sparsely populated by nomadic tribes.
- Huge and complex civilizations existed in what is now Latin America.
Expectations of Greatness
Even in more recent times, countries such as:
- Argentina
- Brazil
- Venezuela
- Mexico
were expected to become global powers.
Venezuela Example
- Venezuela experienced an economic boom in the 1950s.
- It became the third richest country in the world in terms of income per person.
- This wealth came largely from massive oil reserves.
Venezuela Today
- Venezuela is now considered an economic disaster.
- Hyperinflation became so severe that the currency was considered less valuable than toilet paper.
- Millions of people fled the country.
The Broader Pattern
- Venezuela is not unique.
- Most Latin American countries failed to live up to their potential.
- Geographically, South America is arguably better positioned economically than North America.
- Cultural differences do not fully explain the economic gap.
Key Questions
- Why is Nogales, Arizona so much wealthier than Nogales, Sonora?
- Why is North America richer than Latin America?
Spanish Colonization
Argentina and the Search for Wealth
- In 1516, Spanish explorers sailed into modern-day Argentina near the Río de la Plata.
- Spanish explorers were searching for:
- Treasure
- Human labor
Early Problems
- Nomadic peoples refused to cooperate.
- The Spanish wanted silver, but the labor force was unwilling.
Shift Toward Sedentary Societies
The Spanish moved north to find sedentary agricultural societies because:
- They already had hierarchical systems.
- They had ruling elites.
- The Spanish could insert themselves into the top of existing power structures.
Key Idea
- The Spanish specifically sought places with established social hierarchies.
- This allowed them to exploit existing systems for their own benefit.
- The more advanced and organized a society was, the more attractive it became to Spanish conquerors.
The Aztec Empire
- A similar conquest occurred farther north and was even bloodier.
Montezuma and Cortés
- King Montezuma ignored the warnings of his advisors and welcomed Hernán Cortés and the Spanish explorers.
- The Aztec capital city, Tenochtitlán, was quickly seized.
- Montezuma was captured and used as a hostage to extract treasures from the city.
Collapse of the Aztec Empire
- The Aztec Empire soon fell to the Spanish.
- One by one, large and advanced civilizations were conquered, drained of resources, and destroyed.
The Inca Empire
- In 1533, the Spanish massacred a massive Inca army.
- The Spanish replaced Inca elites with their own people.
Silver Extraction
- The Spanish discovered mountains rich in silver.
- Massive amounts of silver were mined using slave labor.
English Colonization in North America
Initial Strategy
- The English also initially tried to conquer indigenous peoples and exploit their labor.
- This strategy failed, just as it eventually did elsewhere.
Why It Failed
- North America was too vast.
- Colonists could simply leave rather than submit to forced labor.
Shift Toward Incentives
As a result, the English changed strategies.
Incentives Included
- Giving land to colonists
- Granting voting rights
- Allowing economic participation
Long-Term Consequences
This became the foundation for:
- Democracy
- Capitalism
- The future United States
Distributed Power and Institutions
Why Distribution of Power Mattered
- Because power became distributed among many people, it became harder for individuals or groups to exploit others for personal gain.
Political Evolution
This process eventually led to:
- The Declaration of Independence
- Constraints on those in power
- Broader distribution of political authority
Protections Introduced
- Property rights
- Patent protections
Result
People became incentivized to invest:
- Time
- Energy
- Resources
- Creativity
into productive work and innovation.
Economic Accessibility in the United States
- Access to patents, loans, and business creation became relatively widespread.
Innovation Statistics
Between 1820 and 1845:
- Only 18% of patentees came from wealthy or connected families.
- Around 40% had only primary schooling.
Example
- Thomas Edison came from a modest educational background.
Outcome
- The United States successfully tapped into the innovation and creativity of ordinary citizens.
- This contributed heavily to the U.S. becoming the wealthiest country in the world.
Latin America After Independence
Colonial Exploitation Continued
- While the U.S. moved toward distributed political power, Latin America remained under colonial-style exploitation.
Conditions
- Locals had little say in government.
- Ordinary people did not gain the same freedoms or rights as northern populations.
- Colonial elites were generally satisfied with Spanish rule.
Napoleon Invades Spain (1808)
- French forces invaded Spain in 1808.
- This weakened Spain’s control over its colonies.
Independence Movements
- Colonial elites across Latin America declared independence largely because they feared losing their own power.
Consequence
Instead of creating strong and fair institutions:
- Many governments became even more tyrannical.
- Political instability increased.
- Corruption spread.
- Dictatorships emerged.
Mexico as an Example
Extreme Political Instability
- Mexico gained independence in 1821.
- Between 1824 and 1867, Mexico had 52 presidents.
Characteristics
- Most leaders came to power through force.
- Property rights became insecure.
- Governments struggled to:
- Collect taxes
- Provide services
- Maintain order
Territorial Losses
- Mexico lost large territories to the United States because it was unable to defend itself effectively.
Weak Economic Institutions
Innovation Was Not Rewarded
- Inventors and entrepreneurs had little confidence they could profit from their ideas.
Banking Problems
- Mexico had very few banks.
- A small number controlled most of the market.
- Interest rates were extremely high.
Consequences
- Loans mainly benefited the wealthy.
- Elites used capital to strengthen monopolies.
Why the U.S. Was Different
- American elites also had incentives to create monopolies.
- However, democratic elections created accountability.
Elections and Competition
- Politicians supporting monopolies could be voted out.
- Candidates opposing monopoly practices often gained popular support.
Land and Economic Opportunity
United States
- Land was often distributed freely to those willing to cultivate it.
Latin America
- Massive amounts of land remained concentrated in elite hands.
- Elites captured most benefits from global trade.
Venezuela and Resource Dependency
Oil Wealth Problems
Venezuela failed to fully capitalize on its oil wealth.
Effects of Oil Dependence
- Oil exports strengthened the currency.
- Other industries became less competitive and weakened.
Government Spending
- Large social spending programs contributed to hyperinflation.
Broader Pattern
This pattern occurred across Latin America with resources such as:
- Precious metals
- Cattle
- Oil
Outcome
- Wealth concentrated among elites.
- Broader economic development stagnated.
Democracy and Corruption
Democratic Institutions Developed Late
- Democracy arrived relatively late in much of Latin America.
- In many places it remained weak or incomplete.
Continuing Problems
- Politicians often remained corrupt and unaccountable.
- Economic institutions stayed closely tied to political elites.
Why Nogales, Arizona Is Richer Than Nogales, Sonora
Institutional Differences
In the United States:
- People can more easily:
- Start businesses
- Buy homes
- Invest confidently
Why?
- Governments are constrained by democratic accountability.
- Politicians depend on votes for reelection.
Protection of Rights
- Property rights are more consistently protected.
- Economic participation is more accessible.
Latin America’s Colonial Legacy
- Many Latin American governments still reflect colonial institutions originally designed to exploit ordinary people.
Political Instability
- Chronic instability weakened central governments.
- Governments struggled to establish law and order nationwide.
Economic Consequences
For ordinary people:
- Starting a business is risky.
- Investment is difficult.
- Monopolies reduce competition.
- Incomes remain stagnant.
Final Argument
Core Thesis
- Latin America was colonized through systems based on exploitation.
- North America increasingly developed through systems based on individual incentives and broader participation.
Key Point
- The differences were not primarily caused by:
- Culture
- Geography
- Spanish vs. English identity alone
Instead
The main difference was the development of:
- Political institutions
- Economic institutions
- Incentive structures
- Distribution of power